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E96018
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選制變遷之效應:分析方法的探討及對我國立委選制變遷影響之研究
Consequences of Electoral System Change: Methodology and Its Application to the Study of Taiwan\'s Shift to the Mixed-member Majoritarian System
1.陳陸輝
2.游清鑫
3.黃紀
4.蔡佳泓
5.鄭夙芬
1.Lu-huei Chen
2.Ching-hsin Yu
3.Chi Huang
4.Chia-hung Tsai
5.Su-feng Cheng
1.國立政治大學選舉研究中心
2.國立政治大學選舉研究中心
3.國立政治大學選舉研究中心
1.Election Study Center, National Chengchi University
2.Election Study Center, National Chengchi University
3.Election Study Center, National Chengchi University
001,002,003,004
1.國立政治大學選舉研究中心
1.Election Study Center, National Chengchi University
002
1.行政院國家科學委員會
1.National Science Council
A.14 計畫執行期間(起):2007-08-01
A.14 計畫執行期間(訖):2008-07-31
2008-03-072008-03-21
A.16 收到日期:2008-11-04
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台灣地區(不含金門、馬祖)年滿二十歲以上的成年公民

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1919


1919
002
01
C.2 聯絡日期:2008-11-05
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1.國立政治大學選舉研究中心
1.Election Study Center, National Chengchi University
1
C.7 資料公開日期:2009-08-01
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1.立委選制變遷
2.西瓜vs.鐘擺效應
3.選舉順序
1.Bandwagon vs. Pendulum Effect
2.Electoral Sequences
3.Legislative Electoral System Chang
 「選制變遷之效應:分析方法的探討及對我國立委選制變遷影響之研究」為國立政治大學選舉研究中心執行之調查計畫。旨在探討立委新選制與總統大選之關係, 也就是探討2008年1月12日第七屆立委選舉的結果,是否會影響選民對3月22日舉行的第十二屆總統選舉的預期及其投票意向。

本資料檔為「選制變遷之效應:2008年立委選舉對總統大選之影響電訪」的問卷資料,問卷內容包括大眾媒體的閱聽模式、對總統候選人評價、2008年 立委選舉候選人與政黨票決定、過去總統選舉投票決定、對公投態度、總統投票對象、對兩岸經貿議題的態度、立委選舉是否影響總統大選投票意向、執政者施政滿 意度、政治信任感、政治效能感、對總統候選人能力及操守評價、政黨能力、對選舉中衝突事件的態度、投票效果、政黨評分、是否參與造勢活動、統獨立場與政黨 傾向、個人社經背景資料。

本計畫以戶籍設於台灣地區(不含金門、馬祖)年滿二十歲以上,居住於住宅區與住商混和區的公民作為研究母體。抽樣方法以以「中華電信住宅部96年版電 話號碼簿」為母體清冊,依據各縣市電話簿所刊電話數佔台灣地區所刊電話總數比例,決定各縣市抽出之電話數比例,以等距抽樣法抽出各縣市電話樣本後,為求涵 蓋的完整性,再以隨機亂數修正電話號碼的最後二碼或四碼,以求接觸到未登錄電話的住宅戶。電話接通後再按照洪氏戶中抽樣的原則,抽出應受訪的對象。本計畫 於2008年3月7日至3月21日間進行調查工作,調查方式採電話訪問,最終樣本數為1,919案。

The constitutional structure defines the allocation of power and the relationships among political institutions. However, it is the electoral system nested inside the constitutional structure that determines who will be chosen to take the various political positions and exercise the power of authoritative value allocation. In May of 2005, an election was held to select the National Assembly delegates, who will vote on constitutional amendments proposed by the Legislative Yuan in August 2004. In the following month, the National Assembly overwhelmingly passed the constitutional amendments which, among other things, reduce the seats of the Legislative Yuan from 225 to 113, and change its electoral system from the single nontransferable vote (SNTV) into the mixed-member majoritarian (MMM) system. This change is expected to produce significant effects not only on the current multi-party system, their interrelationship, and campaign strategies, but also on the electorate\'s voting behavior and choices. This proposed research project intends to assess the political consequences of Taiwan\'s electoral system change of the Legislative Yuan election in 2007. The purpose of this three-year research project is twofold. 1. To develop a research design that best fits the objective of assessing the effects of electoral system change in Taiwan. During the first year of the project, I will develop a research design based on the mixed research methods which combine both qualitative (QUAL) and quantitative (QUAN) data to answer the research question. 2. To apply the research design to compare the 7th Legislative Yuan election to be held in late 2007 based on the MMM system with the previous five elections based on the SNTV system. Besides the within-case comparison for process tracing, this project also plans to compare Japan\'s transition in 1994 from SNTV to MMM system with Taiwan\'s experiences.

D.16 完成檢誤日期:2009-11-27
D.17 預定釋出日期:2010-02-04
D.18 初次釋出日期:2010-02-04
D.19_1 最新版釋出日期:2010-02-04
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10.6141/TW-SRDA-E96018-1
http://efenci.srda.sinica.edu.tw/webview/index.jsp?object=http://efenci.srda.sinica.edu.tw:80/obj/fStudy/E96018
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